As we turn the calendar to January 2026, the real estate narrative in New Hanover, Pender, Onslow, and Brunswick counties is shifting from “recovery” to “strategy.” The old rule of thumb—“wait for the Azalea Festival to list your home”—is officially obsolete.
In our coastal market, Q1 (January, February, March) has evolved into the most tactical quarter of the year. It is the window where serious motivations collide with fresh inventory. Whether you are looking to acquire a beach cottage in Surf City or sell a legacy estate in Landfall, the first ninety days of 2026 offer a specific set of opportunities that will vanish by spring.
For Sellers: Beat the “Spring Flush”
The biggest mistake sellers make in Wilmington and Hampstead is waiting until April to list.
The Q1 Advantage: In January and February, inventory is historically lower than in late spring. By listing now, you are the “only game in town” for the corporate relocations and military transfers (PCS moves to Camp Lejeune) that happen year-round.
The Risk of Waiting: By April, the “Spring Flush” occurs. Hundreds of neighbors who spent the winter painting and decluttering will flood the market simultaneously. Listing in Q1 allows you to stand out before the competition dilutes buyer attention.
Strategic Pricing: With the Pender and Onslow County tax revaluations now effective (as of Jan 1), buyers are hyper-aware of holding costs. Pricing your home effectively in Q1 means accounting for these new tax realities before buyers use them as leverage against you.
For Buyers: The “Leftover” Leverage
Q1 is the golden hour for buyers who value a deal over a bidding war.
Targeting “Stale” Inventory: Homes that listed in October or November 2025 and didn’t sell are now showing 60–90 days on market. These sellers are often fatigued and motivated to close before the spring season ramps up. This is your leverage point in towns like Leland and Southport to negotiate seller-paid closing costs or rate buydowns.
The Interest Rate Reality: While we aren’t seeing the erratic spikes of previous years, rates remain the primary gatekeeper. Smart buyers in Q1 are focusing on assumable mortgages (VA loans are huge in our military-heavy market) to bypass current market rates entirely.
The “Wildcard”: The Weather Factor
In Wrightsville Beach and Oak Island, Q1 weather is the ultimate filter.
Why it Matters: A dreary, rainy February day is the best time to view a coastal property. It reveals the roof leaks, the drainage issues in the yard, and the drafty windows that a sunny July day hides.
The Strategy: Use the Q1 climate to perform a “stress test” on your potential investment. If you fall in love with a house on a gray Tuesday in February, you will love it forever.
Your Next Step
Q1 2026 is not a time for hibernation; it is a time for execution. Sellers who move fast will beat the crowd; buyers who act now will secure terms that won’t exist in May.
At Aspyre Realty Group, we don’t operate on generic seasonal calendars; we operate on market data. We are experts in listening and communicating people’s wants into homes that work for them—regardless of the month. Let’s sit down this week and build your Q1 roadmap before the market accelerates.





